NDP Leaders Race Should Be About Who Can Beat Trudeau

This article was originally published on May 4, 2017 in the Huffington Post.

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Three things are clear coming out of the second NDP leadership debate in Montreal.  First, there’s a clear sense of where the party is headed.  Second, the field of leadership candidates is extremely strong. And finally, the candidates will need to try harder to distinguish themselves.

This is in strong contrast to 2012, when last the NDP had to choose a leader.  The task of replacing Jack Layton in 2012 forced the party to make many tough decisions, foremost over whether to bring the party closer to the political centre under Thomas Mulcair.  But the current race has four candidates all of whom push a strong social democrat vision. They each refer frequently and favourably to Jack Layton’s legacy, but rarely to Thomas Mulcair’s.  Regardless of which candidate prevails in the end, the party will be pushing a solidly progressive vision.

 

The 2012 race also included contenders who had limited political experience, and some who had never held public office.  The current candidates are all sitting MPs, veterans of multiple elections, and comfortable and articulate debating the full range of issues.  As Chantal Hébert affirmed after the bi-lingual Montreal debate last week, it’s easy to imagine any one of the four leading the party into the next election. 

But this is the real challenge: finding the candidate who has the political skill  to be competitive in the next general election.  The NDP leader will have to be smooth, photogenic and charismatic enough to compete with Liberal leader Justin Trudeau.  This same leader will have to be able to get down and dirty to fend off the low blows from whoever wins the Conservative race.  And if O’Leary wins, you can be sure the next election is going to be the political equivalent of professional wrestling.  Finally, the new NDP leader will have to be able to score big in progressively-minded Quebec despite a rejuvenated Bloc Quebecois under Martine Ouellet. 

Unfortunately, the current NDP leadership debates haven’t been sufficiently combative enough to discern the traits necessary to call out the most effective leader.  The two debates have had moderators who were far too friendly, and left-leaning themes which – rather than distinguishing the candidates from one another – only tended to make them appear similar. 

It may well be that the four candidates have very similar visions, but if that’s the case, then the debates need to help viewers discern who can best execute on this vision.  The NDP faces huge challenges as it looks forward to the next federal election.  The party faces a large debt, and perennial struggles to raise money.  Candidates need to detail their plan to address these financing struggles, identify new sources of funding, and talk to their successes in addressing fundraising challenges of the past. 

Each of the four candidates suggested the party needed to reconnect with Canada’s grassroots social movements: environmental groups, indigenous groups, student groups, and the like.  NDP membership numbers are down, and the competing political noise from other parties is deafening.  Candidates need to articulate concrete ideas about how each will develop the grassroots base, citing successes from their own past experiences. 

Left-leaning parties like the NDP tend to have their own language: a lingo which isn’t necessarily understood or embraced by frustrated but non-leftist voters.  As expected, the NDP debates contained plenty of such language: railing against “neo-liberal” policies; talk of “environmental justice,” “carbon tax” and more.  If the NDP is to make another breakthrough in 2019, it needs to identify the leader who can speak a language which resonates with all Canadians – as Jack Layton did in 2011.  NDP audiences to the race need to identify the leader who can articulate the party stances effectively without resorting to left-wing lingo.

The future NDP leader will need to demonstrate an uncanny ability to bridge constituencies like never before.  Interestingly, each candidate has distinct opportunities.  Peter Julian can bridge West Coast and East Coast concerns.  Guy Caron can establish common cause between English and French voters.  Folksy Charlie Angus can make the labour movement cool to non-labour voters.  And Nikki Ashton can appeal to both millennials and older generations.  But each of these leaders needs to highlight how they’ve accomplished this in the past.

Finally, whether the educated left likes it or not, the NDP leader of the 21st century also needs to demonstrate that he/she is a bit of a showman.  For better or worse, Justin Trudeau impressed with his boxing match against Patrick Brazeau in 2012; and the picture of Trudeau doing the plank before a caucus meeting in 2011 didn’t hurt either.  O’Leary became famous for tearing down business wannabes on CBC’s Dragon’s Den, and now makes news merely for blowing off a debate to celebrate his wedding anniversary. 

In the age of Donald J. Trump, it’s clear that voters don’t mind when their politicians are also entertainers.  NDP leadership candidates shouldn’t wait 2019 – the sooner they stand out, the faster they become a household name or a familiar face.  Their ability to capture the public’s imagination – whatever the means – must necessarily figure into this race.  On that token, if he hasn’t considered it already, Charlie Angus may want to plan some charity concerts with his old band, the Grievous Angels

The debates so far have made the leadership contest look like a relay race, with candidates handing the baton politely and amicably to one another.  For the good of the race, and the growth of the party base, candidates need to move into competitive mode – and even “entertainment mode” – ASAP.

 


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